The causal loop

Watch → Signal → Explain → Air → Move → Resolve → Rank → Follow → (back to Watch)

This is a superset of the core loop (Watch → Signal → Explain → Resolve → Rank → Follow). Two steps are inserted — Air and Move — between the call and its settlement. Nothing else changes.

The claim

Denpa routes attention. In culture, attention is not coverage of the outcome — attention is the outcome. “Will X trend,” “will Y chart” are questions whose answers bend toward whatever the broadcast makes visible. Every attention machine has this feedback loop; every attention machine hides it. Denpa instruments it: the loop is timestamped, receipted and scored, so “directing reality” is a measurement, not a metaphor.

The steps

Step	Layer	What happens
WATCH	L5 media	live media bound to a market
SIGNAL	L3 + L4	a YES/NO call locked with a snapshot
EXPLAIN	L5 take	judgment with a face on it
AIR	program clock	momentum earns a segment; airing is a protocol event with provenance
MOVE	snapshot Δ	the broadcast’s footprint on the market, captured at write time
RESOLVE	L6 outcome	the oracle answers; receipts are cut
RANK	L7 reputation	correctness, timing, difficulty, beating the crowd
FOLLOW	L9 social graph	the audience becomes the director

Falsifiability

Attention machines sell correlation as causation and are never billed for their predictions. Denpa is billed. Every aired moment carries a settlement date, a receipt and a scored operator. If airing a market does not move it, the snapshots say so.

The line

Denpa directs attention. Market reaction is emergent. Never write copy implying Denpa directs prices or that airtime predicts outcomes. SIGNAL, not BET — everywhere, always. The causal loop is a measurement of influence, not a promise of it.

The fork rule

The loop closes only where attention is performative. Sports runs the core loop; the causal loop degrades gracefully to it. Which loop a vertical runs is a verticalConfig property, not code.